Monday, October 3, 2022

Passion for Politics: Trump isn’t Slowing Down

demo slide

With the summer winding down, the Trump juggernaut is anything but. The second GOP debate one week away, and the Republicans continue to discuss world and domestic issues while the Democrats are still arguing about the Clinton email scandal.

The impact of the scandal has lofted Bernie Sanders to a 9 point lead in New Hampshire and has closed Hillary’s lead in Iowa from 24 points in July to 11 currently. Undeclared VP Joe Biden is now at 16 percent in New Hampshire and 20 percent in Iowa according to the NBC News/Marist Poll.

On the GOP side of the polling ledger, the consensus average of NBC/Marist; Gravis/Monmouth/DM Register/Loras College is reflecting the following in Iowa:

Trump 26.4
Carson 19.4
Cruz 7.0
Walker 6.4
Bush 6.2
Fiorina 6.0
Rubio 4.8
Huckabee 3.2
Paul 3.0
Jindal 2.6
Kasich 2.4

The New Hampshire and South Carolina polls show Trump with commanding leads of 15 percent over Kasich and 20% over Carson respectively. The balance of the field is all in single digits in both states. It’s interesting to note that in his own state of South Carolina, Senator Lindsey Graham is only polling at 5.3 percent some 26 percent behind The Donald.

Iowa voters by 60 percent are clearly saying they prefer an anti-establishment candidate. This is not playing well for either Bush or Clinton as well as the other Washington based officials in the field. Dr. Ben Carson and Ms. Fiorina are clearly riding this tidal wave.

Recent Ole Miss graduate Allen Kurr has the growing threat of terrorism among his  more important issues for the candidates to address. Allen is also concerned about his fellow millennials political apathy with so much at stake for the country’s future.

Looking at the Labor Day Drudge Report, Survey USA reflects Trump defeating Clinton; Sanders; Biden and Gore in head to head battles with Biden the closest. In late June  Trump trailed Clinton by 25 percent! Also, 30 percent of Republican respondents believe Trump will be the eventual nominee while 20 percent are predicting Bush.

The most interesting development, however, is now 25 percent of black voters are now leaning towards Trump. This could be devastating for the Democrats next year if it continues or increases. I believe the immigration issue is influencing this significantly.


Steve Vassallo

Steve Vassallo is a HottyToddy.com contributor. Steve writes on Ole Miss athletics, Oxford business, politics and other subjects. He is an Ole Miss grad and former radio announcer for the basketball team. Currently, Steve is a highly successful leader in the real estate business who lives in Oxford with his wife Rosie. You can contact Steve at sovassallo@gmail.com or call him at 985-852-7745.

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